The third quarter of 2014 reflected multiple shifts in bond market attitudes as well as the points of focus on economic growth, U.S. Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical fronts. By mid-July, geopolitical risks had heated up and high-quality bonds benefited as many investors went in search of safety. Beyond the safety factor, the bond market seemed to be pulled in both directions by signs of improving U.S. growth being offset by pockets of weakening global growth.
Economic data for U.S. employment, consumer demand, and housing varied from month to month. Manufacturing was also choppy but auto sales were consistently strong. Overall, the U.S. economy has decent momentum entering the fourth quarter.
The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index recorded a virtually flat return in the third quarter as higher-quality bonds and longer-duration sectors led the way. Short-to-intermediate-focused sectors produced negative returns, although mortgage-backed securities (MBS) were relatively strong. Meanwhile, BBB-rated corporates, high yield corporate bonds, and emerging market bonds produced negative returns.
Within the Fund
For the third quarter of 2014, Delaware Corporate Bond Fund (Class A and Institutional Class shares at net asset value) posted a negative return and underperformed its benchmark, the Barclays U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Index.
The Fund’s continued overweight in investment grade corporate bonds hurt relative performance during the quarter, as corporate bonds experienced wider credit spreads. Security selection generally had a neutral impact, but down-in-quality lagged.
Overall, Fund exposure to the high yield bond market also detracted from relative performance. Investments in bank loans showed more-moderate negative results.
Whether evaluating current bond prices or the range of forecasts for 2015, a Fed tightening in the second or third quarter of 2014 appears to be viewed as a “high probability.” Many market analysts express concern that the Fed is already behind the curve. However, we believe that current conditions may actually support the opposite conclusion. Given the Fed’s history of refraining from tightening policy when the Consumer Price Index is soft, oil is falling, and the U.S. dollar is rising, a 2015 tightening could end up being ahead of the curve (and a policy mistake). Sluggish global growth — which results mostly from weak consumption — seems to support this view, as does the recent sharp decline in Treasury inflation-protected securities’ (TIPS’) break-even rates (that is, inflation premiums).
On balance, weak global growth should keep real rates at very low levels, and deflationary pockets in key world markets should keep nominal rates low as well. Market forecasts for significantly higher rates and a steeper yield curve seem to be misplaced, and if anything, forecasts should be acknowledging the potential for a return to 10-year Treasury rates in the low 2% range.
Bond ratings are determined by a nationally recognized statistical rating organization (NRSRO).
Per Standard & Poor’s credit rating agency, bonds rated below AAA are more susceptible to the adverse effects of changes in circumstances and economic conditions than those in higher-rated categories, but the obligor’s capacity to meet its financial commitment on the obligation is still strong. Bonds rated BBB exhibit adequate protection parameters, although adverse economic conditions or changing circumstances are more likely to lead to a weakened capacity of the obligor to meet its financial commitments. Bonds rated BB, B, and CCC are regarded as having significant speculative characteristics with BB indicating the least degree of speculation.
Mortgage-backed securities are fixed income securities that represent pools of mortgages, with investors receiving principal and interest payments as the underlying mortgage loans are paid back. Many are issued and guaranteed against default by the U.S. government or its agencies or instrumentalities, such as Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, and Ginnie Mae. Others are issued by private financial institutions, with some fully collateralized by certificates issued or guaranteed by the U.S. government or its agencies or instrumentalities.
The Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index is a broad composite that tracks the investment grade domestic bond market.
The views expressed represent the Manager's assessment of the Fund and market environment as of the date indicated, and should not be considered a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any security, and should not be relied on as research or investment advice. Information is as of the date indicated and subject to change.
Document must be used in its entirety.
The performance quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance quoted.
Performance data current to the most recent month end may be obtained by calling 800 523-1918 or visiting delawareinvestments.com/performance.
Total returns may reflect waivers and/or expense reimbursements by the manager and/or distributor for some or all of the periods shown. Performance would have been lower without such waivers and reimbursements.
|Average annual total return as of quarter-end (09/30/2014)|
|YTD||1 year||3 year||5 year||10 year||Lifetime||Inception|
|Class A (NAV)||-0.62%||6.63%||8.45%||7.62%||8.37%||6.99%||7.22%||09/15/1998|
|Class A (at offer)||-5.11%||n/a||3.53%||5.97%||7.38%||6.51%||6.91%|
|Institutional Class shares||-0.56%||6.83%||8.72%||7.88%||8.60%||7.26%||7.49%||09/15/1998|
|Barclays U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Index||-0.08%||5.60%||6.77%||5.19%||6.41%||5.49%||n/a|
Returns for less than one year are not annualized.
Class A shares have a maximum up-front sales charge of 4.50% and are subject to an annual distribution fee.
Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs, or expenses. Indices are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index.
Barclays U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Index (view)
|Class A (Gross)||0.93%|
|Class A (Net)||0.93%|
|Institutional Class shares (Gross)||0.68%|
|Institutional Class shares (Net)||0.68%|
Institutional Class shares are only available to certain investors. See the prospectus for more information.
All third-party marks cited are the property of their respective owners.
Carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risk factors, charges, and expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in the Fund’s prospectus and its summary prospectus, which may be obtained by clicking the prospectus link located in the right-hand sidebar or calling 800 523-1918. Investors should read the prospectus and the summary prospectus carefully before investing.
Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
Fixed income securities and bond funds can lose value, and investors can lose principal, as interest rates rise. They also may be affected by economic conditions that hinder an issuer’s ability to make interest and principal payments on its debt.
The Fund may also be subject to prepayment risk, the risk that the principal of a fixed income security that is held by the Fund may be prepaid prior to maturity, potentially forcing the Fund to reinvest that money at a lower interest rate.
International investments entail risks not ordinarily associated with U.S. investments including fluctuation in currency values, differences in accounting principles, or economic or political instability in other nations.
Investing in emerging markets can be riskier than investing in established foreign markets due to increased volatility and lower trading volume.
High yielding, noninvestment grade bonds (junk bonds) involve higher risk than investment grade bonds.
The Fund may invest in derivatives, which may involve additional expenses and are subject to risk, including the risk that an underlying security or securities index moves in the opposite direction from what the portfolio manager anticipated. A derivative transaction depends upon the counterparties’ ability to fulfill their contractual obligations.
Not FDIC Insured | No Bank Guarantee | May Lose Value